The International Grains Council (EU’s USDA) came out with their monthly stab in the dark for grain production. Wheat production for 2020-21 was increased 5mt to 773mt thanks to bigger crops in Russia (85.3mt / 84.5mt), Kazakhstan (14.3mt / 12.4mt) and Australia (33.3mt . 31.2mt) a new record for...

I get a lot of emails and I read a lot of market analysis, some more reliable than others. For a while now the bears have been talking about the demise of the latest “commodities super cycle” (are we in one yet). Current prices are far from the highs...

First dry weather and then rain at harvest, the Brazilian soybean crop has had a testing year. Normally 30%+ of the Brazil bean crop is in the bin by mid-February but to date just half that percentage is said to have been harvested. This and reductions in global oilseed...

An indication of things to come, possibly. News that Saudi Arabia has purchased 355kt of milling wheat from Saudi Arabian farms owned by the Saudi Agricultural Livestock Investment Company (SALIC) in Australia, Canada and Ukraine for delivery during the second half of 2021 was interesting. In April 2020 SAGO,...

Tunisia picked up 100kt of milling wheat, 92kt of durum wheat and 125kt of feed barley overnight. Delivery for this tender is pencilled in for Mid-March to late April. The durum was said to be purchased at US$384.60 per tonne C&F. Looking at Canadian cash values for 1CWAD13 ex...

The trade had to digest the latest USDA planted acres predictions report last night. A report that appeared a little bearish for corn and soybeans but didn’t hurt wheat at all. Although the USDA predict winter wheat acres to increase by around 5%, to 32mac. The higher acres projected...

US futures markets gave back a large slice of the previous sessions gains. Wheat being the hardest hit. Interesting to note that the CME futures contract for Australian Wheat FOB (Platts) closed up US$1.50 in the April slot at US$289.25. Keep in mind that this contract still remains untraded,...

The weekend cold snap in the US was the main driver of US grain futures overnight. All three wheat grades saw nice gains in the nearby contracts with HRW and SRWW both pushing +20c/bu higher by the end of the session and settlement above the session high. Technically May21...

The USA and Canada had another long weekend so futures market news is thin on the ground unless you look towards the European markets. At Paris milling wheat was up E4.75 on the nearby March 21 contract. May futures were not far behind with a gain of E4.25/t. The...

At Chicago HRW futures found some support from the winter storm pushing through Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas. Looking at some of the weather sites in the US we see places like Salina Kansas will see minimum temperatures drop as low as -24C on Monday morning. Daytime temperatures there will...