The international wheat market remains a moving target. The political fundamentals often changing on a daily basis. At the moment the focus is on the banning of Ukrainian wheat from entering Poland, Hungary and Slovakia. When Ukraine was invaded the Ukraine government stopped Black Sea wheat exports. This was...

It’s pretty much a sea of red at the world’s major futures markets this morning. Chicago soybeans and Paris rapeseed are the worst performers. Paris rapeseed shed E11.75 on the nearby contract and E10.00 on the Feb24 slot. Looking at movement between the AUD and the Euro the move...

Canola and rapeseed futures were nicely higher in overnight trade. The links between crude oil and vege oils proving to be the catalyst. With OPEC members and some other oil producing nations agreeing to lower crude production by about 1.5mb/d, the impact this would have on crude oil values...

The USDA are predicting that the US will plant around 1.78 million acres of durum this year compared to 1.63 million acres last year. Big call looking at the current prices, they have fallen a lot since this data was collected. As usual the USDA continue to play 30-60...

Paris rapeseed futures were sharply lower in overnight trade, shedding E12.75 on the nearby contract and E9.75 in the Feb 24 slot. Taking the variation between the AUD / Euro into account this move could represent a change of almost AUD$20 per tonne locally if basis remains unchanged today....

Poland and Romania are asking the EU to track Ukraine road / rail wheat exports more closely. Local farmers in countries joining Ukraine are concerned that the flood of cheap Ukraine grain heading west and south by road is filling local homes and not making it to seaports for...

The jump in US wheat futures will generally be countered by the increase in the value of the AUD against the USD. Hard red wheat out of the US Pacific Northwest was priced on average at roughly 10.16c/bu, US$373.30 per tonne. A rough calculation determining the cost to ship...

Indian weather is creating some concern for the quality and quantity of both the wheat and chickpea crop there. Domestic Indian values have increased, chickpea putting on roughly AUD$18 per tonne when taking movement in the AUD / Rs into account as well. Harvest on what we would call...

US wheat futures rallied higher overnight. Speculative trade on thoughts that Russia may put some form of export restriction on wheat to manipulate prices higher seemed to be the catalyst. The Russian ministry had “suggested” that the export pace of Russian wheat be slowed yesterday. Could it be this...

There’s a lot of talk of the Chicago wheat / corn spread from the technical traders. No one seems to be saying that they think wheat will go higher or corn will go lower but they are saying that the current spread is indicating we may see one of...